Alex in Movieland

Oscar Predictions I made back in March 2009

Look what I found and I thought it would be funny to post: the Oscar predictions I made 10-11 months before the nominations were actually announced. I do it every year (this one won’t be an exception), it’s fun and I truly believe it’s more important to get nominated than to actually win.

The first Oscar 2010 predictions I made last MARCH! Here’s how I did :)))

Best Picture:

Cheri
Inglourious Basterds
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Shutter Island

They hadn’t announced there were gonna be 10. So I was 1/5 accurate. I gradually lost faith in Inglourious Basterds, but in the end it was my only accomplishment. I had very very high hopes for The Lovely Bones and Nine.

Director:

Quentin Tarantino – Inglourious Basterds
Peter Jackson – The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall – Nine
Martin Scorsese – Shutter Island
Terence Mallick – Tree of Life

1/5. Not bad :D it’s not my fault Shutter Island and Tree of Life went 2010. I still believe Terence Mallick has a shot next year.

Actor:

Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
Jamie Foxx – The Soloist
Jude Law – Rage
Brad Pitt – Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station

I got Christopher Plummer, but in the wrong category. 0/5 :( And Day-Lewis did get a GG nomination… Jude Law for Rage is the funniest; you know, it’s that Sally Potter film nobody has seen with him in drag. It just sounded like a fine perspective :D

Actress:

Penelope Cruz – Broken Hugs
Helen Mirren – Love Ranch
Michelle Pfeiffer – Cheri
Hilary Swank – Amelia
Rachel Weisz – The Lovely Bones

Don’t tell me 10 months in advance (and before the movie release) you didn’t think Pfeiffer was a lock for the nomination!!! I did great with Mirren, but for the wrong film. So 0/5 (I thought Meryl would be supporting). Funniest: Rachel Weisz, who proved to be barely on screen in The Lovely Bones.

Supporting Actor:

Johnny Depp – Public Enemies
Richard Gere – Amelia
Ben Kingsley – Shutter Island
Sean Penn – Tree of Life
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones

Wow. 1/5, Yay for Stanley Tucci. I somehow thought Public Enemies was gonna be about Christian Bale’s character and not Dillinger.

Supporting Actress:

Kathy Bates – Cheri
Marion Cotillard – Nine
Judi Dench – Nine
Susan Sarandon – The Lovely Bones
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

Strange, I remember having Penelope on the list, or maybe I added her later. Around summer time, I had 3 Supporting Actresses from Nine on this list :D imagining a Tom Jones (1963) type of move. So 0/5, but I did know Meryl was gonna be IN, one category or another. Marion was a fantasy.

Original Screenplay:

Broken Hugs
Inglourious Basterds
Rage
Sunshine Cleaning
Tree of Life

1/5. Tarantino saved me all the way. :)

Adapted Screenplay:

Cheri
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Shutter Island
Where the Wild Things Are

It’s a 0/5, but seriously: I have seen worse!


The technical-categories predictions I have are from the summer, so not as old as these. But I also have the ones from March 2008 :)) obviously, no Slumdog Millionaire in them, but you wouldn’t believe how freakishly good I was with most of them. Anyway, much better than March 2009.

So do you usually adventure with such predictions 10 months in advance? Did you do it last year?