Monday, December 17, 2012

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Here are my 100% correct Oscar predictions. :) There’s no way I could go wrong with these. :D

Some notes:
- the ranking is based on the chances to get nominated and not on the chance to win (for example: DiCaprio – he will have a tough time getting nominated, BUT if he does he could win).
- what’s marked with blue is the potential winner of that category, if that is the exact line-up.
- I’m also posting my old predictions for the main categories, from May 1st, 2012 & August 15th (predicted winners from back then, in bold).
- I take pride in having Zero Dark Thirty & K. Bigelow always on my nominations list. I believed in this film when most people didn’t.

There goes nothing:


BEST PICTURE
(May 1st: Les Misérables, The Great Gatsby, The Hobbit, Killing Them Softly,  Life of Pi, Lincoln, The Master, Zero Dark Thirty)
(August 15th: The Dark Knight Rises, Django Unchained, The Hobbit, Les Misérables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, The Master, Zero Dark Thirty)

1. Lincoln
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Argo
5. Les Miserables
6. Life of Pi
7. Django Unchained
8. The Master
9. Amour

In case 10 films get nominated: 10. Moonrise Kingdom
Runner-up: Beasts of the Southern Wild


BEST DIRECTING
(May 1st: Paul Thomas Anderson - The Master, Tom Hooper - Les Miserables, Ang Lee - Life of Pi, Steven Spielberg - Lincoln, Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty)
(August 15th: Tom Hooper – Les Misérables, Ang Lee – Life of Pi, Steven Spielberg – Lincoln, Paul Thomas Anderson – The Master, Kathryn Bigelow – Zero Dark Thirty)

1. Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
2. Ben Affleck – Argo
3. Kathryn Bigelow – Zero Dark Thirty
4. Tom Hooper – Les Miserables
5. Ang Lee – Life of Pi

6. Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
7. David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
8. Paul Thomas Anderson – The Master
9. Michael Haneke – Amour
10. Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild


BEST ACTOR
(May 1st: Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master, Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln, Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables, Bill Murray - Hyde Park on Hudson, Brad Pitt - Killing Them Softly)
(August 15th: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln, John Hawkes – The Sessions, Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables, Bill Murray – Hyde Park on Hudson, Joaquin Phoenix – The Master)

1. Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
2. Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook
3. Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
4. John Hawkes – The Sessions
5. Joaquin Phoenix – The Master

6. Denzel Washington – Flight
7. Richard Gere – Arbitrage
8. Anthony Hopkins – Hitchcock
8. Jean-Louis Trintignant – Amour
10. Jack Black – Bernie


BEST ACTRESS
(May 1st: Nicole Kidman - The Paperboy, Sandra Bullock - Gravity, Keira Knightley - Anna Karenina, Laura Linney - Hyde Park on Hudson, Carey Mulligan - The Great Gatsby)
(August 15th: Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone, Helen Hunt – The Sessions, Laura Linney – Hyde Park on Hudson, Elizabeth Olsen – Therese Raquin, Vanessa Redgrave – Song for Marion)

1. Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
2. Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
3. Naomi Watts – The Impossible
4. Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
5. Emmanuelle Riva – Amour

6. Helen Mirren – Hitchcock
7. Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
8. Rachel Weisz – The Deep Blue Sea
9. Keira Knightley – Anna Karenina
10. Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
(May 1st: Joaquin Phoenix - The Master, Russell Crowe - Les Miserables, Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained, Ray Liotta - Killing Them Softly, Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained)
(August 15th: Russell Crowe – Les Misérables, Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained, Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master, William H. Macy – The Sessions, Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike)

1. Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
3. Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
4. Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained
5. Alan Arkin – Argo

6. Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
7. Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike
8. Javier Bardem – Skyfall
9. Ewan McGregor – The Impossible
10. Dwight Henry – Beasts of the Southern Wild


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
(May 1st: Anne Hathaway - Les Misérables, Amy Adams - The Master, Samantha Barks - Les Miserables, Laura Dern - The Master, Sally Field - Lincoln)
(August 15th: Amy Adams – The Master, Sally Field – Lincoln, Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables, Jessica Lange – Therese Raquin, Olivia Williams – Hyde Park on Hudson)

1. Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
2. Sally Field – Lincoln
3. Helen Hunt – The Sessions
4. Maggie Smith – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
5. Nicole Kidman – The Paperboy

6. Amy Adams – The Master
7. Ann Dowd – Compliance
8. Judi Dench – Skyfall
9. Samantha Barks – Les Miserables
10. Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. Django Unchained
3. Moonrise Kingdom
4. The Master
5. Amour

6. Looper


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Lincoln
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Argo
4. Life of Pi
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild

6. The Perks of Being a Wallflower


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Lincoln
2. Anna Karenina
3. Life of Pi
4. Argo
5. The Hobbit

6. Cloud Atlas


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Les Miserables
2. Skyfall
3. Django Unchained
4. Paul Williams Still Alive
5. The Hobbit

6. Brave


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Life of Pi
2. Skyfall
3. Lincoln
4. Les Miserables
5. Django Unchained

6. The Master


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Lincoln
4. The Master
5. The Hobbit

6. Cloud Atlas


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Anna Karenina
2. Les Miserables
3. Django Unchained
4. Lincoln
5. Snow White and the Huntsman

6. A Royal Affair


BEST EDITING

1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. Lincoln
3. Les Miserables
4. Argo
5. Life of Pi

6. Silver Linings Playbook


BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Les Miserables
2. Zero Dark Thirty
3. Skyfall
4. The Dark Knight Rises
5. Django Unchained

6. Life of Pi


BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. Skyfall
3. The Dark Knight Rises
4. Life of Pi
5. Django Unchained

6. The Avengers


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Life of Pi
2. The Hobbit
3. The Dark Knight Rises
4. The Avengers
5. Cloud Atlas

6. Skyfall


BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1. Lincoln
2. The Hobbit
3. Les Miserables

6. Men in Black 3


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Frankenweenie
2. Brave
3. Wreck-It Ralph
4. Rise of the Guardians
5. The Rabbi’s Cat

6. ParaNorman



Complete previous predictions can be found here:

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Denzel being left out is quite a scandalous prediction.

But I do hope Joaquin doesn't get snubbed. And Nicole. And I hope Marion's spot is as secure as I think it is.

Glad to see you back. :)

Alex Constantin said...

Yes, that's a scandalous prediction, but it's just what i'm feeling at the moment. :) either him or Hawkes. we'll see if I still feel the same in 2 weeks