Sunday, February 24, 2013

Add to Technorati FavoritesFinal Oscar predictions...



Before I get to the actual predictions, some special comments:

Most difficult category to predict: Best Supporting Actor
Easiest category to predict: Best Actor – Daniel Day Lewis
Biggest risk I am taking with my predictions: Life of Pi for Best Production Design
I want it to happen but I don’t have the balls to predict it: Best Actress – Emmanuelle Riva
The category I am most stubborn about: Best Animated Feature – the awful Brave will probably win,  but I am sticking with Wreck-It Ralph
A category that will indicate early on the trend of the awards to follow:
1.       Best Adapted Screenplay (if Lincoln wins, it still has a shot at Best Picture)
2.       Best Original Score (if Argo wins, it’s locked & it will have at least 4 wins)

Take them to the bank:


BEST PICTURE
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Lincoln
My vote: Amour

BEST DIRECTOR
Will win: Ang Lee – Life of Pi
Runner-up: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
My vote: Michael Haneke – Amour

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Runner-up: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
My vote: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Runner-up: Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
My vote: Emmanuelle Riva – Amour

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Runner-up: Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
My vote: Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Runner-up: Sally Field – Lincoln
My vote: Helen Hunt – The Sessions

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Django Unchained
Runner-up: Zero Dark Thirty
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Lincoln
My vote: Silver Linings Playbook

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Skyfall
My vote: Lincoln

BEST EDITING
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Zero Dark Thirty
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Life of Pi

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Will win: Skyfall
Runner-up: Les Miserables
My vote: Skyfall

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Anna Karenina
My vote: Lincoln

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will win: Anna Karenina
Runner-up: Mirror Mirror
My vote: Anna Karenina

BEST SOUND MIXING
Will win: Les Miserables
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Skyfall

BEST SOUND EDITING
Will win: Skyfall
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
My vote: Life of Pi

BEST MAKEUP & HAIR
Will win: Les Miserables
Runner-up: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
My vote: Les Miserables

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Will win: Wreck-It Ralph
Runner-up: Brave
My vote: Wreck-It Ralph

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will win: Amour
Runner-up: Kon-Tiki
My vote: - (so far I’ve  only seen Amour)


Worth mentioning that I’ve seen all feature films nominated, except for Ted & Chasing Ice (both in the Song category, though I did listen to the songs) and, as mentioned, the films in the Foreign Language Category. Otherwise, all seen.
I don’t care to make predictions for Documentary Feature / Documentary Short / Live Action Short / Animated Short, but if you’d insist I’d say Searching for Sugar Man / Inocente / Curfew / Paperman.

Enjoy the ceremony!

Not to forget: I'll tweet my way through the ceremony... https://twitter.com/AlexInMovieland ;)

3 comments:

joe burns said...

Check out mine! I'm personally saying Waltz and Riva will come through, but they could just as easily lose. I'm surprised you picked Zero Dark Thirty over Amour in terms of preference given you seemed to like Amour so much. Can I ask why?

I'm hoping Lincoln will win Best Picture, but I'm doubting it.

Alex in Movieland said...

You mean: why did I choose ZDT for screenplay?
Well, because the screenplay is not the star in Amour. But it IS such a successful element of Zero Dark Thirty.
If Kathryn Bigelow would've been nominated, she would've easily been my Directing choice (even over Haneke).

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