Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Add to Technorati FavoritesJust an update on the predictions below:

I did great with my predictions: 21/24. The ones I got wrong were: Supporting Actor (but Waltz WAS my runner-up, as mentioned), Animated Feature (Brave WAS my runner-up, and I saw it coming, but, as written in the comments below, I was stubborn on not predicting the awful Brave) and... Production Design - Lincoln's was the best, it deserved this win, but I really didn't see it coming.

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Add to Technorati FavoritesFinal Oscar predictions...



Before I get to the actual predictions, some special comments:

Most difficult category to predict: Best Supporting Actor
Easiest category to predict: Best Actor – Daniel Day Lewis
Biggest risk I am taking with my predictions: Life of Pi for Best Production Design
I want it to happen but I don’t have the balls to predict it: Best Actress – Emmanuelle Riva
The category I am most stubborn about: Best Animated Feature – the awful Brave will probably win,  but I am sticking with Wreck-It Ralph
A category that will indicate early on the trend of the awards to follow:
1.       Best Adapted Screenplay (if Lincoln wins, it still has a shot at Best Picture)
2.       Best Original Score (if Argo wins, it’s locked & it will have at least 4 wins)

Take them to the bank:


BEST PICTURE
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Lincoln
My vote: Amour

BEST DIRECTOR
Will win: Ang Lee – Life of Pi
Runner-up: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
My vote: Michael Haneke – Amour

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Runner-up: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
My vote: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Runner-up: Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
My vote: Emmanuelle Riva – Amour

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Runner-up: Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
My vote: Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Runner-up: Sally Field – Lincoln
My vote: Helen Hunt – The Sessions

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Django Unchained
Runner-up: Zero Dark Thirty
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Lincoln
My vote: Silver Linings Playbook

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Skyfall
My vote: Lincoln

BEST EDITING
Will win: Argo
Runner-up: Zero Dark Thirty
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Life of Pi

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Will win: Skyfall
Runner-up: Les Miserables
My vote: Skyfall

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: Anna Karenina
My vote: Lincoln

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will win: Anna Karenina
Runner-up: Mirror Mirror
My vote: Anna Karenina

BEST SOUND MIXING
Will win: Les Miserables
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Skyfall

BEST SOUND EDITING
Will win: Skyfall
Runner-up: Argo
My vote: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will win: Life of Pi
Runner-up: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
My vote: Life of Pi

BEST MAKEUP & HAIR
Will win: Les Miserables
Runner-up: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
My vote: Les Miserables

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Will win: Wreck-It Ralph
Runner-up: Brave
My vote: Wreck-It Ralph

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will win: Amour
Runner-up: Kon-Tiki
My vote: - (so far I’ve  only seen Amour)


Worth mentioning that I’ve seen all feature films nominated, except for Ted & Chasing Ice (both in the Song category, though I did listen to the songs) and, as mentioned, the films in the Foreign Language Category. Otherwise, all seen.
I don’t care to make predictions for Documentary Feature / Documentary Short / Live Action Short / Animated Short, but if you’d insist I’d say Searching for Sugar Man / Inocente / Curfew / Paperman.

Enjoy the ceremony!

Not to forget: I'll tweet my way through the ceremony... https://twitter.com/AlexInMovieland ;)