Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Oscar Predictions I made back in March 2009

Look what I found and I thought it would be funny to post: the Oscar predictions I made 10-11 months before the nominations were actually announced. I do it every year (this one won’t be an exception), it’s fun and I truly believe it’s more important to get nominated than to actually win.

The first Oscar 2010 predictions I made last MARCH! Here’s how I did :)))

Best Picture:

Inglourious Basterds
The Lovely Bones
Shutter Island

They hadn’t announced there were gonna be 10. So I was 1/5 accurate. I gradually lost faith in Inglourious Basterds, but in the end it was my only accomplishment. I had very very high hopes for The Lovely Bones and Nine.


Quentin Tarantino – Inglourious Basterds
Peter Jackson –
The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall – Nine
Martin Scorsese –
Shutter Island
Terence Mallick – Tree of Life

1/5. Not bad :D it’s not my fault Shutter Island and Tree of Life went 2010. I still believe Terence Mallick has a shot next year.


Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
Jamie Foxx – The Soloist
Jude Law – Rage
Brad Pitt – Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station

I got Christopher Plummer, but in the wrong category. 0/5 :( And Day-Lewis did get a GG nomination… Jude Law for Rage is the funniest; you know, it’s that Sally Potter film nobody has seen with him in drag. It just sounded like a fine perspective :D


Penelope Cruz – Broken Hugs
Helen Mirren – Love Ranch
Michelle Pfeiffer –
Hilary Swank –
Rachel Weisz – The Lovely Bones

Don’t tell me 10 months in advance (and before the movie release) you didn’t think Pfeiffer was a lock for the nomination!!! I did great with Mirren, but for the wrong film. So 0/5 (I thought Meryl would be supporting). Funniest: Rachel Weisz, who proved to be barely on screen in The Lovely Bones.

Supporting Actor:

Johnny Depp – Public Enemies
Richard Gere – Amelia
Ben Kingsley – Shutter Island
Sean Penn – Tree of Life
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones

Wow. 1/5, Yay for Stanley Tucci. I somehow thought Public Enemies was gonna be about Christian Bale’s character and not Dillinger.

Supporting Actress:

Kathy Bates – Cheri
Marion Cotillard –
Judi Dench –
Susan Sarandon –
The Lovely Bones
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

Strange, I remember having Penelope on the list, or maybe I added her later. Around summer time, I had 3 Supporting Actresses from Nine on this list :D imagining a Tom Jones (1963) type of move. So 0/5, but I did know Meryl was gonna be IN, one category or another. Marion was a fantasy.

Original Screenplay:
Broken Hugs
Inglourious Basterds
Sunshine Cleaning
Tree of Life

1/5. Tarantino saved me all the way. :)

Adapted Screenplay:

The Lovely Bones
Shutter Island
Where the Wild Things Are

It’s a 0/5, but seriously: I have seen worse!

The technical-categories predictions I have are from the summer, so not as old as these. But I also have the ones from March 2008 :)) obviously, no Slumdog Millionaire in them, but you wouldn’t believe how freakishly good I was with most of them. Anyway, much better than March 2009.

So do you usually adventure with such predictions 10 months in advance? Did you do it last year?


Anonymous said...

I don't engage in such long-view predictions, but I think I would do far worse than you.

I remember the Chéri hype very clearly. It seemed like Pfeiffer was going to be holding a trophy this March. Things are not always as they seem.

Dreher Bear (...Where The Buffalo Roam) said...

Nice write-up! It's funny how things change in terms of hype (Lovely Bones) and release dates (Tree of Life, Shutter Island, etc).

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