Monday, December 13, 2010

Predicting the Golden Globes...

I was so sick of King's Speech and Social Network photos, that I just decided to post some Black Swan instead. I think it will get just one nomination, for Natalie, but she'll also be winning, so the photo is, in a way, justified.

They are announcing tomorrow. Here's how I think the main categories will look like (winners in bold). Do notice that so far the only film rewarded with Best Film from the critics was The Social Network. That's depressing, but I'm still sticking to my theory: it's not winning Oscar's Best Picture and maybe not even the Golden Globe.

So here I go. I'll stand corrected in less that 24 hours:

Best Film - Drama:
127 Hours
The Fighter
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Best Film - Comedy/Musical:
Alice in Wonderland
How Do You Know
The Kids Are All Right
Love and Other Drugs
Made in Dagenham

Best Director:
Danny Boyle - 127 Hours
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
David Fincher - The Social Network
The Coens - True Grit

Best Actor - Drama:
Javier Bardem - Biutiful
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Robert Duvall - Get Low
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours

Best Actor - Comedy/Musical:
Jim Carrey - I Love You Phillip Morris
Johnny Depp - Alice in Wonderland
Robert Downey Jr. - Due Date
Harrison Ford - Morning Glory
Jake Gyllenhaal - Love and Other Drugs

Best Actress - Drama:
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville - Another Year
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Julia Roberts - Eat Pray Love

Best Actress - Comedy/Musical:
Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Anne Hathaway - Love and Other Drugs
Sally Hawkins - Made in Dagenham
Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right
Reese Witherspoon - How Do You Know

Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Mark Ruffalo - The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams - The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Miranda Richardson - Made in Dagenham
Dianne Wiest - Rabbit Hole

Best Screenplay:
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit

I've had Hilary Swank in for Conviction up until the very last moment, but we know they really like Julia Roberts, so that seemed more probable. I can't imagine them going for Naomi Watts or even less Michelle Williams. Very indie is not their thing, I guess.
And what a mess is the Film, Comedy/Musical category. There's be some major vote splitting.

We'll see.


hey deanie said...

I'm really hoping Williams gets either a Globe or SAG nod, although I'm still not sure...either one would be crucial for her getting a nod come Oscar time.

richardM said...

What have made you think Naomi Watts (Fair Game) is "too indie". whereas Jennifer Lawrence (winter Bone), and to a certain extent Sally Hawkins, is not?

Alex in Movieland said...

@hey deanie,

I haven't seen Blue Valentine yet, but I'm quite sure I'm gonna love it. but who can she replace? Manville?? I'm sure Lawrence is pretty much safe and Nicole seems likely.

of course Fair Game is no indie. that was a complicated phrasing, sorry for that:

I can't imagine them going for Naomi Watts or even less Michelle Williams. Very indie is not their thing

I meant very indie for Blue Valentine. and yes, I think Blue V is more indie than Winter's Bone and Made in D. they did everything in one take...