Sunday, January 22, 2012

Updated January 24th - let's see how I did



And here they are: the final Oscar predictions



Less than 48 hours till the big announcement. For me, the nominations are way more fun than the actual winners. So here are my final predictions: the order represents their chance of getting nominated, NOT their chance of winning.

My predicted winners (if they get nominated) have this *** on the side.

[all 7 nominated; one of the other 2 was runner-up]
Best Picture:


1. The Artist
2.
The Descendants
3.
Hugo
4.
The Help
5.
Midnight in Paris
6.
Moneyball
7.
War Horse


if Oscar would've went with 10:
8. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
9.
The Tree of Life
10.
Drive


[5/5]
Director:
1. Michel Hazanavicius –
The Artist
2. Martin Scorsese –
Hugo
3. Alexander Payne –
The Descendants
4. Woody Allen –
Midnight in Paris
5. Terrence Malick –
The Tree of Life

6. David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
7. Steven Spielberg –
War Horse


[4/5]
Actor:
1. George Clooney –
The Descendants
2. Jean Dujardin –
The Artist
3. Brad Pitt –
Moneyball
4. Michael Fassbender –
Shame
5. Gary Oldman –
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

6. Michael Shannon – Take Shelter
7. Leonardo DiCaprio –
J. Edgar


[4/5]
Actress:
1. Meryl Streep –
The Iron Lady
2. Viola Davis –
The Help
3. Michelle Williams –
My Week with Marilyn
4. Tilda Swinton –
We Need to Talk About Kevin
5. Glenn Close –
Albert Nobbs

6. Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
7. Charlize Theron –
Young Adult


[4/5]
Supporting Actor:
1. Christopher Plummer –
Beginners
2. Albert Brooks –
Drive
3. Kenneth Branagh –
My Week with Marilyn
4. Nick Nolte –
Warrior
5. Jonah Hill –
Moneyball

7. Patton Oswalt – Young Adult
8. Armie Hammer –
J. Edgar


[5/5]
Supporting Actress:
1. Octavia Spencer –
The Help
2. Berenice Bejo –
The Artist
3. Jessica Chastain –
The Help
4. Melissa McCarthy –
Bridesmaids
5. Janet McTeer –
Albert Nobbs

6. Shailene Woodley – The Descendants
7. Vanessa Redgrave –
Coriolanus


[3/5]
Original Screenplay:
1.
Midnight in Paris
2.
The Artist
3.
Bridesmaids
4.
50/50
5.
Young Adult

6. Beginners
7.
Win Win


[4/5 + first runner-up]
Adapted Screenplay:
1.
The Descendants
2.
Moneyball
3.
The Help
4.
Hugo
5.
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

6. The Ides of March
7.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo



[3/5 + first runner-up]
Original Score:
1.
The Artist
2.
War Horse
3.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
4.
The Adventures of Tintin
5.
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

6. Hugo
7.
Jane Eyre


[1/2 but category was a mess]
Original Song:
1.
The Muppets (Pictures...)
2.
The Muppets (Man or Muppet)
3.
Gnomeo and Juliet
4.
Captain America
5.
The Help

6. Hugo
7.
Albert Nobbs


[5/5]
Cinematography:
1.
The Artist
2.
Hugo
3.
The Tree of Life
4.
War Horse
5.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

6. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
7.
Melancholia


[4/5]
Art Direction:
1.
Hugo
2.
The Artist
3.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
4.
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
5.
War Horse

6. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
7.
The Help


[4/5]
Costume Design:
1.
Hugo
2.
The Artist
3.
Jane Eyre
4.
The Help
5.
W.E.

6. My Week with Marilyn
7.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2


[4/5 + first runner-up]
Editing:
1.
The Artist
2.
Hugo
3.
War Horse
4.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5.
Moneyball

6. The Descendants
7.
The Tree of Life



[3/5 - shame on me, my no. 1, Super 8, was not nominated]
Sound:
1.
Super 8
2.
Hugo
3.
War Horse
4.
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
5.
Hanna

6. The Artist
7.
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides


[2/5 + first runner-up // but overall poor predictions]
Sound Editing:
1.
War Horse
2.
Super 8
3.
Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol
4.
The Adventures of Tintin
5.
Transformers: Dark of the Moon

6. Hugo
7.
Rise of the Planet of the Apes


[4/5]
Visual Effects:
1.
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
2.
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
3.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
4.
Hugo
5.
The Tree of Life

6. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
7.
Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol


[2/3 + second runner-up]
Makeup:
1.
The Iron Lady
2.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
3.
Hugo

4. The Artist
5.
Albert Nobbs


[3/5]
Animated Feature:
1.
Rango
2.
Puss in Boots
3.
The Adventures of Tintin
4.
Cars 2
5.
Kung Fu Panda 2

6. Arthur Christmas
7.
Rio



[4/5 + first runner-up]
Foreign Language Film:
1. Iran
2. Israel
3. Poland
4. Canada
5. Germany

6. Belgium
7. Morocco



In case you want to see my previous Oscar predictions, just click on the date I've posted them:

APRIL 3RD, 2011

AUGUST 16TH, 2011

DECEMBER 31ST, 2011



You have to agree I haven't predicted anything outrageous. :) I'm going (mostly) safe.

4 comments:

dinasztie said...

I so hope The Girl with The Dragon Tattoo, Fincher, The Tree of Life and Malick will make it.

AMEN to your supporting actress predictions. I hope they will go with the SAG nominees. Go Melissa!

I'm also feeling Gary Oldman's nod but I also think that Michael Fassbender might be snubbed.

I kind of secretly wish Great Glenn doesn't make it because I don't want her to lose once more. But again, that performance is so fantastic.

MrJeffery said...

ugh. war horse. i would love see noms for 'young adult'!

Alex in Movieland said...

@dinasztie,

I so hope Dragon Tattoo & Fincher WON'T make it. :P especially the film. ugh.

That is so selfish of you on the subject of Glenn. I am sure she will be DELIGHTED if she gets nominated, even though I'm sure she doesn't expect to actually win.

Yes, Best Actor is complicated. Any 2 from these 5 could make it: Fassbender, Leo, Oldman, Shannon, even Harelson...


@MrJeffery,
I imagine it will get nominated for Original Screenplay... though that category is super confusing.

dinasztie said...

I wouldn't say that's selfish :P but I see your point, really. And she's brilliant...